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Joint and Deep Ensemble Regression of Clinical Scores for Alzheimer′s Disease Using Longitudinal andIncomplete Data |
Yang Mengya1, Hou Wen2, Yang Peng1, Zou Wenbin2, Wang Tianfu1, Lei Baiying1* |
1.(School of Biomedical Engineering, Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, National-Regional Key Technology Engineering Laboratory for Medical Ultrasound, Guangdong Key Laboratory for Biomedical Measurements and Ultrasound Imaging, Shenzhen 518060, Guangdong, China) 2.(School of Information Engineering, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518060, Guangdong, China) |
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Abstract Alzheimer′s disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disease with an irreversible and progressive process, and thus close monitoring is essential for making adjustments in the treatment plan. Since clinical scores can indicate the disease status effectively, the prediction of the scores based on the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data is highly desirable. Different from previous studies at a single time point, we proposed to build a model to explore the relationship between MRI data and scores, thereby predicting longitudinal scores at future time points from the corresponding MRI data. The model incorporated three parts, correntropy regularized joint learning based features election, deep polynomial network based feature encoding and finally, support vector regression. The regression process was carried out for two scenarios. One was desirable in practice, which is to use baseline data for predictions at future time points, and the other was to further improve the prediction accuracy, which was to combine all the previous data for the prediction at the next time point. Meanwhile, the missing scores were filled in the second scenario to address the incompleteness presented in the data. We predicted longitudinal scores at future time points by the proposed model. Besides, the corresponding average absolute error and Pearson correlation were calculated to estimate the experimental results. In scenario 1, the average absolute value was 2.01, 2.06, 2.06, 2.27, 2.00 and the Pearson correlation coefficient was 0.70, 0.69, 0.56, 0.65, 0.67. In the scenario 2, the average absolute error was 0.14, 0.10, 0.09, 0.08 and the Pearson correlation coefficient is 0.72, 0.75, 0.78, 0.74. The simulation results validated that the proposed model described accurately the relationship between MRI data and scores, and thus was effective in predicting longitudinal scores.
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Received: 16 October 2017
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